1
Prince Achille
7yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 60
Newcastle · Esh Stantec Handicap · 1m 2f 42y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Thirsk | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 20/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 19/03/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |