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3

Pureis King

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 57

Newcastle · Esh Stantec Handicap · 1m 2f 42y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well supported when landing a quick-fire double on the Flat at up to 1½m in June. Ridden too aggressively when sixth of 9 in handicap at Lingfield (13f) 6 weeks ago (final start for Faye Bramley) and better showing certainly not ruled out back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readWELL IN
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength70%

What the class read says

Strong hidden class form — has met tougher company than today and the bare form doesn't fully capture it. Should find this level easier. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Cheltenham 01/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 2m179y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS1/0114 @ Kempton 25/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m Sta 140 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Kempton 01/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m Sta 140 · HIGHER CLASS1/0444 @ Epsom Downs 28/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m113y Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS6 @ Lingfield 18/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 50 · 1m2f Goo 135 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 50 par18/066OR 506 @ Ffos Las 23/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 50 · 1m2f Gd 135 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Leicester 25/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 50 · 1m3f179y GF 137 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 50 par25/066OR 506 @ Ffos Las 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 58 · 1m3f209y Goo 133 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Lingfield 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 58 · 1m5f Std 133 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 58 par15/086OR 58projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Lingfield66th6th0
2026-07-28Ffos Las65th5th0
2026-06-25Leicester61st1st0
2026-06-23Ffos Las61st1st0
2026-06-18Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-04-28Epsom Downs48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0128/0425/0615/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/01/202611th25/10%33%+0.33
25/03/202610th10/147%10%-0.37
01/04/20268th100/10%42%+0.42
28/04/20268th100/10%13%+0.13
18/06/20262nd9/488%89%+0.01
23/06/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
25/06/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
28/07/20265th15/890%50%-0.40
15/08/20266th11/271%38%-0.34