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14

Rajawail

6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 45

Newcastle · Esh Stantec Handicap · 1m 2f 42y

#14

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden who has offered little in turf handicaps in recent months. Hard to make a case for back up markedly in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 15/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 45 · 1m2f42y Std 126 · beat its mark15/02/2026 · OR 45 par15/026OR 456 @ Catterick 08/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m4f13y Goo 116 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Catterick 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m5f192y Goo 116 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 45 par22/046OR 456 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 45 · 1m6y Goo 116 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Beverley 04/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m100y Goo 121 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 45 par4/056OR 456 @ Beverley 27/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 45 · 1m4f23y Goo 122 · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Beverley 16/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m1f207y Goo 126 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 45 par16/066OR 456 @ Carlisle 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 45 · 7f173y Goo 123 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Carlisle 19/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 45 · 6f195y Goo 124 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 45 par19/086OR 45projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Carlisle610th10th0
2026-08-11Carlisle67th7th0
2026-06-16Beverley610th10th0
2026-05-27Beverley66th6th0
2026-05-04Beverley610th10th0
2026-04-29Pontefract65th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0229/0416/0619/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength9%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 14th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/02/202612th200/10%0%0.00
08/04/20268th125/10%0%0.00
22/04/20267th200/10%14%+0.14
29/04/20265th150/10%50%+0.50
04/05/202610th66/10%31%+0.31
27/05/20266th100/10%0%0.00
16/06/202610th80/10%0%0.00
11/08/20267th200/10%14%+0.14
19/08/202610th125/10%0%0.00