5

Janora

3yo Filly · 9-2

Newcastle · MMB Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off huge odds but showed more than on debut when fourth of 9 in novice at this course (7f) 20 days ago. Likely one for handicaps down the line.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 20/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 12320/0844 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1255/094projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Newcastle44th4th0
2026-08-20Newcastle46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +40.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
05/09/20264th200/10%63%+0.63