3
One Of The Boys
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 77
Newcastle · MMB Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Lingfield | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -35.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |