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4

Whatever Bruce

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Newcastle · MMB Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered more than on debut when sixth of 9 in novice at this course (7f) 20 days ago, not clear run. More needed to break duck, however.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wetherby 15/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 13015/0644 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1305/094projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Newcastle46th6th0
2026-06-15Wetherby46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength99%

Delivery trend -12.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20266th66/10%50%+0.50
05/09/20266th66/10%38%+0.38