10

Seadreamin

2yo Colt · 9-4

Newcastle · United Infrastructure EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twice-raced maiden. 125/1, still green but showed more when seventh of 10 in novice at Wolverhampton (6f) 10 days ago. Needs this for a mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 5f217y Goo 12722/0855 @ Wolverhampton 15/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12715/095projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Wolverhampton57th8th−1
2026-08-22Redcar512th13th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +33.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/202612th40/10%0%0.00
15/09/20267th125/10%33%+0.33