3
Doralee
5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 51
Newcastle · Selwood Handicap · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Musselburgh | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Redcar | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Catterick | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Ripon | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Nottingham | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +10.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 38% | -0.53 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 11% | -0.71 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |