IvyArcIvyArc
5

Sixcor

8yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 50

Newcastle · Selwood Handicap · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Latest win at Wolverhampton in August. Respectable sixth of 11 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm, 11/1) 13 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Musselburgh 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 45 · 5f1y Gd 127 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 45 par30/066OR 456 @ Hamilton 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 45 · 5f7y Goo 123 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Hamilton 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 45 · 5f7y Goo 124 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 45 par16/076OR 456 @ Ayr 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 45 · 5f Goo 124 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 44 · 5f21y Std 139 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 44 par31/076OR 446 @ Ayr 10/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 48 · 6f Goo 126 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 47 · 5f1y Goo 127 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 47 par24/086OR 476 @ Wolverhampton 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 47 · 5f21y Std 128 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 50 · 5f1y Goo 131 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 50 par12/096OR 50projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Musselburgh66th6th0
2026-08-26Wolverhampton61st1st0
2026-08-24Musselburgh66th6th0
2026-08-10Ayr66th6th0
2026-07-31Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-07-27Ayr61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0627/0724/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20267th9/153%33%-0.19
11/07/20265th28/10%43%+0.43
16/07/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
27/07/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
31/07/20264th10/382%40%-0.42
10/08/20266th12/137%58%+0.21
24/08/20266th15/261%44%-0.16
26/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
12/09/20266th11/142%50%+0.08