2
Reginald Charles
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Newcastle · MWH Treatment Handicap · 1m 5y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Beverley | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Redcar | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Doncaster | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Southwell | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Southwell | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 17/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 07/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.21 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 78% | -0.14 |