5
Sassy Glory
5yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 54
Newcastle · MWH Treatment Handicap · 1m 5y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Catterick | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 13/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 11/05/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.33 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2026 | 12th | 10/3 | 82% | 8% | -0.74 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |