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Beattie Is Back

7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 75

Newcastle · Today's Wonderful Sponsors Handicap · 7f 14y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

21%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Capitalised on falling mark to record third C&D win earlier this month. 6 lb higher here but that still leaves him feasibly treated and looks sure to go well again given past course exploits.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 20/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 76 · 6f16y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/01/2026 · OR 76 par20/014OR 764 @ Newcastle 31/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Wolverhampton 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 75 · 7f36y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 75 par27/024OR 754 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Ripon 03/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 75 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 75 par3/065OR 755 @ Ripon 17/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 74 · 6f Gd 141 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 21 · OR 72 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 72 par24/074OR 725 @ Southwell 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 70 · 6f17y Std 135 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 69 · 7f15y Std 134 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 69 par2/095OR 69projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Newcastle51st1st0
2026-08-06Southwell53rd3rd0
2026-07-24York415th14th+1
2026-06-17Ripon55th5th0
2026-06-03Ripon56th6th0
2026-05-23York415th14th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0123/0524/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength85%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/01/20266th40/10%44%+0.44
31/01/20264th3/184%63%-0.22
27/02/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20
23/05/202615th40/10%26%+0.26
03/06/20266th6/168%44%-0.24
17/06/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
24/07/202615th50/10%30%+0.30
06/08/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01
02/09/20261st3/184%100%+0.16