7
Intrusively
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 70
Newcastle · Today's Wonderful Sponsors Handicap · 7f 14y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength71%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Thirsk | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Doncaster | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Nottingham | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 28/03/2026 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 01/08/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |