Monsieur Bondy
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 72
Newcastle · Today's Wonderful Sponsors Handicap · 7f 14y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Doncaster | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Doncaster | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Doncaster | 3 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Newcastle | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-09-11 | Newcastle | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 85/40 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 20/06/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |