10
Tasever
6yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 64
Newcastle · Today's Wonderful Sponsors Handicap · 7f 14y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Newcastle | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Newcastle | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 10/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 25/07/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |