2
Respectable Jack
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 52
Newcastle · Northumbrian WaterAid Sprint Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kempton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Kempton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kempton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 21/10/2025 | 15th | 12/1 | 37% | 7% | -0.30 |
| 04/12/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |
| 19/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 06/05/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |