4
Suzette
4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 50
Newcastle · Northumbrian WaterAid Sprint Handicap · 6f
#13
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Thirsk | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Beverley | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Thirsk | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 16/06/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 10/07/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 29/08/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 09/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 23/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 25/07/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |