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Gilding The Lily

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 87

Newmarket · Betway British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed) · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Blue Point filly who confirmed the considerable promise shown on debut when justifying cramped odds in a 3-runner novice on the July course last month. Defied a penalty in another small-field novice at Kempton (1m) 3 weeks ago and this progressive filly needs considering upped in class.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength5%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 1.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f36y Std 12831/0744 @ Newmarket 14/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR - · 1m GF 12814/0843 @ Kempton 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 1m Sta 1354/093projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kempton31st4th−2
2026-08-14Newmarket41st5th−3
2026-07-31Wolverhampton42nd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0714/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength76%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20262nd7/282%89%+0.07
14/08/20261st2/598%100%+0.02
04/09/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03