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9

Lizzana

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 96

Newmarket · Betway British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed) · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Didn't need to improve to follow up from Kempton returning from 6 months off at Wolverhampton back in March. Has upped her game significantly at pattern level the last twice, most recently when third of 15 in Italian Oaks at Milan (10.5f) 3 months ago. Market check advisable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength5%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 1.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 22/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m142y Std 12822/0952 @ Kempton 13/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m Sta 12613/1024 @ Wolverhampton 31/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 1m142y Std 12831/034projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-31Wolverhampton41st5th−3
2025-10-13Kempton21st2nd−1
2025-09-22Wolverhampton52nd7th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0913/1031/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength32%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20252nd15/890%91%+0.01
13/10/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
31/03/20261st1/297%100%+0.03