4

Song N Dance
4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 86
Newmarket · Betway British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed) · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 3 | 10th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Newmarket | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Ascot | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 23/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 28/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |