2

Club Class
4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 98
Newmarket · Princess Royal Stakes (Sponsored By Betway) (Fillies' And Mares' Group 3) · 1m 4f
#3
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | York | 1 | 12th | 12th | −0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newmarket | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | 3 | 4th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-04-08 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength32%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 20/08/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |