5

Francophone

5yo Mare · 9-5 · OR 100

Newmarket · Princess Royal Stakes (Sponsored By Betway) (Fillies' And Mares' Group 3) · 1m 4f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won a 1m listed race here last autumn. Creditable 1¼ lengths second of 8 to Romantic Symphony in a listed race on the July Course here (1½m, good to firm) 55 days ago

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.6
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Haydock 24/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 100 · 1m2f100y Gd 128 · beat its mark24/05/2025 · OR 100 par24/051OR 1002 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 23 · OR 97 · 1m GF 131 · beat its mark18/06/2025 · OR 97 par1 @ Pontefract 08/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 97 · 1m6y Goo 128 · beat its mark08/07/2025 · OR 97 par8/071OR 971 @ Newmarket 26/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 96 · 1m GF 130 · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 96 par1 @ Newmarket 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 105 · 1m1f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 105 par3/051OR 1051 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 105 · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 105 par1 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 105 · 7f213y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 105 par17/061OR 1051 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 102 · 1m2f Goo 131 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 102 par1 @ Newmarket 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 102 · 1m4f GF 135 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 102 par1/081OR 102projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Newmarket12nd2nd−0
2026-07-18Curragh14th4th0
2026-06-17Royal Ascot111th11th+0
2026-05-24Curragh110th10th+0
2026-05-03Newmarket14th4th+0
2025-09-26Newmarket11st1st−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0526/0917/061/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20255th6/168%33%-0.35
18/06/20255th20/10%82%+0.82
08/07/20256th7/163%44%-0.19
26/09/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
03/05/20264th11/142%67%+0.25
24/05/202610th16/116%18%+0.02
17/06/202611th50/10%29%+0.29
18/07/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
01/08/20262nd17/255%86%+0.30