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8

Prizeland

3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 108

Newmarket · Princess Royal Stakes (Sponsored By Betway) (Fillies' And Mares' Group 3) · 1m 4f

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Career best tackling going softer than good for the first time winning listed Galtres at York (1½m) last month. Creditable 4½ lengths fourth of 7 to Waardah in Park Hill at Doncaster (14.5f, good) 15 days ago. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength31%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Leicester 07/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m53y GS 1287/1045 @ Kempton 29/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m Sta 12829/1053 @ Lingfield 14/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 76 · 1m4f Std 121 · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 76 par14/043OR 761 @ Lingfield 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 85 · 1m3f133y Goo 128 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 85 par9/051OR 851 @ Hamilton 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 94 · 1m3f15y Goo 128 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 94 par17/071OR 941 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 94 · 1m3f188y GS 126 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 94 par20/081OR 941 @ Doncaster 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 108 · 1m6f115y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 108 par10/091OR 108projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Doncaster14th4th+0
2026-08-20York11st1st−0
2026-07-17Hamilton12nd2nd−0
2026-05-09Lingfield12nd2nd−0
2026-04-14Lingfield31st4th−2
2025-10-29Kempton51st6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/109/0510/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength94%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20254th4/179%63%-0.16
29/10/20251st7/593%100%+0.07
14/04/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
09/05/20262nd17/255%75%+0.20
17/07/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12
20/08/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
10/09/20264th9/488%50%-0.38