6
Ryka
4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 95
Newmarket · Princess Royal Stakes (Sponsored By Betway) (Fillies' And Mares' Group 3) · 1m 4f
#10
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | York | 1 | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Goodwood | 1 | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Doncaster | 2 | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-11 | Ayr | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 15th | 17th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +8.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/09/2024 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 18/05/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 20/06/2025 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 11/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 01/10/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |