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Pensando A Te

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 86

Newmarket · Betway Rockfel Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bred to be useful (held Group 1 and 2 entries) and finished with a rattle when head second of 10 in maiden at Yarmouth (6f, firm) on debut last month. Confirmed that promise when going one place better at Ascot 3 weeks ago and there should be lots more to come over 7f. Yard won this back in 2013.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f3y GF 1285/0842 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 6f Goo 1285/092projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Ascot21st3rd−2
2026-08-05Yarmouth42nd6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%

Delivery trend -16.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/20262nd13/266%89%+0.23
05/09/20261st6/594%100%+0.06