5
Ruby Moon
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 94
Newmarket · Betway Rockfel Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Ayr | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlisle | 4 | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |