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6

Sea Venture

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 87

Newmarket · Betway Rockfel Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sea The Stars filly who looked good prospect in overcoming both inexperience and a troubled passage when taking 9-runner maiden at Haydock (6f, good to soft) in May. Didn't see out 7f as well as might have been expected in the Chesham soon after but she's been given a break and a tongue tie is on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength13%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 22/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f Sft 12822/0531 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f GF 12618/061projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Royal Ascot16th7th−0
2026-05-22Haydock31st4th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0518/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -41.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
18/06/20266th15/261%62%+0.01