IvyArcIvyArc
9

Spirited Gesture

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 88

Newmarket · Betway Rockfel Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bred to be smart and looked just that when making an impressive winning start to her career on the July Course last month. Quickened clear when long odds-on at Newcastle since and with the second improving next time, there's substance to that. Very exciting prospect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f GF 1281/0833 @ Newcastle 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f14y Std 13520/083projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Newcastle31st4th−3
2026-08-01Newmarket31st4th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0820/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength85%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
20/08/20261st1/699%100%+0.01