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4

Colori Forever

3yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 103

Newmarket · Betway Joel Stakes (Group 2) · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful in handicaps 2 of first 3 starts this season, before excuses in the Jersey at Royal Ascot. Has got back on track the last twice, shaping well (suffered early interference) when 1¼ lengths fifth of 9 to Persica in Superior Mile at Haydock 20 days ago. Could go well.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 24/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 13124/0842 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 26 · OR - · 7f Goo 1233 @ Doncaster 25/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 84 · 7f6y Hvy 134 · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 84 par25/103OR 844 @ Southwell 05/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 84 · 7f14y Std 134 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 84 par2 @ Newbury 17/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 84 · 7f Gd 130 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 84 par17/042OR 842 @ Ascot 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 96 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 96 par1 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 103 · 7f GF 129 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 103 par20/061OR 1031 @ Newmarket 09/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 103 · 1m Goo 131 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 103 par1 @ Haydock 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 103 · 7f212y Hvy 126 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 103 par5/091OR 103projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Haydock15th5th−0
2026-07-09Newmarket12nd3rd−0
2026-06-20Royal Ascot112th12th−0
2026-05-08Ascot21st3rd−2
2026-04-17Newbury22nd4th−2
2026-04-05Southwell41st5th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/085/0420/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength49%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
04/10/20255th4/179%84%+0.05
25/10/20252nd6/492%67%-0.25
05/04/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
17/04/20262nd13/891%92%+0.01
08/05/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
20/06/202612th12/137%27%-0.10
09/07/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18
05/09/20265th11/142%50%+0.08