6
Talk Of New York
3yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 116
Newmarket · Betway Joel Stakes (Group 2) · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
4/6
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Sandown | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Newmarket | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Meydan | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 7th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 75% | -0.23 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/5 | 98% | 83% | -0.15 |