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3

Fortitudine

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 105

Newmarket · Betway Godolphin Stakes (Listed) · 1m 4f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked an exciting prospect when winning both starts to date over 11f at Kempton, including by 21 lengths on debut. Now switches to turf for a rise in grade and trip and is the choice of William Buick from the Godolphin pair so he's a very interesting contender.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Kempton 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f219y Sta 1305/0833 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m2f219y Sta 1372/093projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton31st4th−2
2026-08-05Kempton31st4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength71%

Delivery trend -17.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
02/09/20261st1/499%100%+0.01