4
Kokbastau
3yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 106
Newmarket · Betway Godolphin Stakes (Listed) · 1m 4f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
66%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Sandown | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-08 | Yarmouth | 3 | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-09-19 | Newbury | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +22.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |