2

Blue Victory

2yo Colt · 9-2

Newmarket · Betway Bet The Responsible Way British EBF 'Confined' Maiden Stakes · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

55%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went backwards from debut when ninth of 12 in novice at Kempton (6f, 15/2) 23 days ago and looks one for handicaps down the line.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f GF 13331/0744 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f Sta 1332/094projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton49th10th−1
2026-07-31Newmarket45th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -50.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
02/09/20269th15/261%27%-0.33