7

Maxton

2yo Colt · 9-2

Newmarket · Betway Bet The Responsible Way British EBF 'Confined' Maiden Stakes · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed promise despite obvious signs of inexperience when fourth of 10 in maiden at Lingfield (6f, AW, 17/2) on debut 15 days ago, clear of rest. Likely to improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f1y Std 13310/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield44th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20264th17/255%67%+0.11