8

Minsmere

2yo Colt · 9-2

Newmarket · Betway Bet The Responsible Way British EBF 'Confined' Maiden Stakes · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twice-raced colt who was much improved from debut when fourth of 9 in novice (50/1) at Salisbury (1m, good to soft) 22 days ago. More needed to take a hand here, however.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Lingfield 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1y Std 13320/0833 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m Goo 1313/093projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Salisbury34th4th0
2026-08-20Lingfield35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength87%

Delivery trend +24.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20265th18/15%43%+0.38
03/09/20264th50/10%63%+0.63