12

Sole Ambition

2yo Colt · 9-2

Newmarket · Betway Bet The Responsible Way British EBF 'Confined' Maiden Stakes · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

15%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved from debut when third of 14 in maiden at York (7f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Further progress is on the cards and he holds strong claims.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ffos Las 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 6f Goo 13314/0742 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS21/082projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21York23rd2nd+1
2026-07-14Ffos Las43rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +117.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20263rd10/382%50%-0.32
21/08/20263rd33/10%85%+0.85