9
Be The Standard
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 81
Newmarket · Betway Bet 10 Get 40 Handicap · 1m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | Chester | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Newcastle | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Thirsk | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-08-15 | Newbury | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-07-19 | Haydock | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 15/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 29/08/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |