Flying Frontier
6yo Horse · 10-0 · OR 88
Newmarket · Betway Bet 10 Get 40 Handicap · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Doncaster | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Sandown | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ascot | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sandown | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Redcar | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-21 | Pontefract | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 30/08/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 21/04/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |