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2

Joulany

3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 91

Newmarket · Betway Bet 10 Get 40 Handicap · 1m 1f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

800,000 gns buy who boasts strong novice/maiden form in the spring. Off since pulling too hard on handicap debut at Royal Ascot and is an intriguing contender dropping back in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 05/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 1335/0942 @ York 11/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f192y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS11/1022 @ Newbury 17/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS17/0422 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 91 · 1m4f63y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 91 par8/052OR 912 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 19th of 19 · OR 91 · 1m3f211y GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 91 par18/062OR 91projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Royal Ascot219th18th+1
2026-05-08Chester22nd1st+1
2026-04-17Newbury23rd2nd+1
2025-10-11York24th3rd+1
2025-09-05Kempton42nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0911/1017/048/0518/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength62%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20252nd5/696%88%-0.08
11/10/20254th4/696%57%-0.39
17/04/20263rd6/168%78%+0.09
08/05/20262nd10/1195%83%-0.12
18/06/202619th18/15%0%-0.05