8

Sunday Night Code

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 37

Remington Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Remington Park 02/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS2/11C6C9 @ Remington Park 15/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 52 · 1m110y Fas 118 · beat its mark15/11/2025 · OR 52 par15/11C9OR 52C6 @ Remington Park 19/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 57 · 5f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/12/2025 · OR 57 par19/12C6OR 57C6 @ Will Rogers Downs 02/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 47 · 1m Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 47 par2/03C6OR 47C9 @ Will Rogers Downs 23/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 43 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 43 par23/03C9OR 43C9 @ Will Rogers Downs 07/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 41 · 1m 126 · below its mark07/04/2026 · OR 41 par7/04C9OR 41C9 @ Will Rogers Downs 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 35 · 6f 126 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 35 par20/04C9OR 35projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-20Will Rogers Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-04-07Will Rogers Downs?10th10th0
2026-03-23Will Rogers Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-03-02Will Rogers Downs?7th4th+3
2025-12-19Remington Park?5th2nd+3
2025-11-15Remington Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/112/0320/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20256th12/137%38%+0.01
15/11/20252nd16/116%86%+0.70
19/12/20255th7/163%43%-0.20
02/03/20267th5/174%14%-0.59
23/03/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16
07/04/202610th8/158%0%-0.58
20/04/20262nd7/163%75%+0.12