1

Ziah Y G

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 47

Remington Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Remington Park 20/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 11820/10C9C9 @ Remington Park 30/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 118C6 @ Sam Houston Race Park 01/02/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/02/2025 · OR 84 par1/02C6OR 84C6 @ Sam Houston Race Park 22/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 38 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/03/2025 · OR 38 parC9 @ Sam Houston Race Park 30/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark30/03/2025 · OR 52 par30/03C9OR 52C6 @ Lone Star 11/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 68 · 7f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/05/2025 · OR 68 parC6 @ Lone Star 12/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 59 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 59 par12/07C6OR 59C9 @ Remington Park 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 57 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 57 par4/09C9OR 57projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Remington Park?7th7th0
2026-07-12Lone Star?11th8th+3
2025-05-11Lone Star?9th6th+3
2025-03-30Sam Houston Race Park?5th5th0
2025-03-22Sam Houston Race Park?6th3rd+3
2025-02-01Sam Houston Race Park?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1022/0312/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength52%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/20248th25/10%13%+0.13
30/11/20246th16/116%17%+0.01
01/02/20257th10/147%25%-0.22
22/03/20256th40/10%44%+0.44
30/03/20255th20/10%43%+0.43
11/05/20259th25/10%11%+0.11
12/07/202611th40/10%9%+0.09
04/09/20267th40/10%0%0.00