C W Charm
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 93
Remington Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-11-30 | Remington Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Remington Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 12/05/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/07/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/11/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |