2
Catale Winemixer
6yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 82
Remington Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Remington Park | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-04-27 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Remington Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 24/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/02/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 16/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |