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7

Eireann

4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 93

Remington Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

67%

Place Prob

58%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Will Rogers Downs 17/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/03/2025 · OR 73 par17/03C5OR 73C0 @ Will Rogers Downs 07/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 6f Fas 125C0 @ Remington Park 30/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f Fas 12330/08C?C0 @ Remington Park 18/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m70y Fas 123C5 @ Remington Park 30/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 86 · 1m 120 · beat its mark30/11/2025 · OR 86 par30/11C5OR 86C5 @ Remington Park 21/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/12/2025 · OR 87 parC5 @ Will Rogers Downs 16/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 84 · 1m 126 · beat its mark16/02/2026 · OR 84 par16/02C5OR 84C5 @ Will Rogers Downs 16/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 84 · 1m 126 · beat its mark16/03/2026 · OR 84 parC5 @ Will Rogers Downs 21/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 89 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 89 par21/04C5OR 89projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-21Will Rogers Downs?2nd1st+1
2026-03-16Will Rogers Downs?1st1st0
2026-02-16Will Rogers Downs?2nd2nd0
2025-12-21Remington Park?2nd1st+1
2025-11-30Remington Park?1st1st0
2025-10-18Remington Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0318/1016/0221/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength80%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
07/04/20253rd2/189%50%-0.39
30/08/20255th5/493%0%-0.93
18/10/20252nd11/271%86%+0.15
30/11/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
21/12/20252nd1/297%83%-0.14
16/02/20262nd15/890%80%-0.10
16/03/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
21/04/20262nd8/1196%80%-0.16