
Talkin Cadee
6yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 102
Remington Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Remington Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Remington Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-12 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Remington Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Remington Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 28/06/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |