6

Talkin Cadee

6yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 102

Remington Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Lone Star 24/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 90 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark24/05/2025 · OR 90 par24/05C6OR 90C5 @ Lone Star 28/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2025 · OR 89 parC5 @ Remington Park 24/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 98 · 7f110y Fm 120 · below its mark24/08/2025 · OR 98 par24/08C5OR 98C5 @ Remington Park 13/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 95 · 7f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 95 parC5 @ Remington Park 18/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 97 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 97 par18/10C5OR 97C5 @ Lone Star 31/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 98 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 98 parC6 @ Lone Star 12/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 99 · 7f110y Fm 122 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 99 par12/07C6OR 99C8 @ Remington Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 98 · 7f110y Fm 122 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 98 parC5 @ Remington Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 98 · 7f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 98 par12/09C5OR 98projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Remington Park?3rd2nd+1
2026-08-29Remington Park?1st4th−3
2026-07-12Lone Star?6th7th−1
2026-05-31Lone Star?6th6th0
2025-10-18Remington Park?2nd1st+1
2025-09-13Remington Park?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0513/0912/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20252nd9/276%88%+0.11
28/06/20255th66/10%60%+0.60
24/08/20253rd4/179%75%-0.04
13/09/20255th9/153%20%-0.33
18/10/20252nd12/137%83%+0.46
31/05/20266th16/116%50%+0.34
12/07/20266th16/116%17%+0.01
29/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
12/09/20263rd6/168%80%+0.12