6
Catherine La Mer
3yo Filly · 8-5
Saint-Cloud · Prix Guy Garner Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/01/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 01/02/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 22/07/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |