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5

Dance De Lune

3yo Filly · 8-5

Saint-Cloud · Prix Guy Garner Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12812/05C8C5 @ Compiegne 13/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12813/06C5C5 @ Deauville 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1236/08C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 12029/08C5C5 @ Chantilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1274/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Chantilly?4th4th0
2026-08-29Clairefontaine?2nd2nd0
2026-08-06Deauville?4th4th0
2026-06-13Compiegne?10th10th0
2026-05-12Chantilly?4th8th−4
2025-10-29Le Mans?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0513/066/0829/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength33%

Delivery trend -17.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/05/20264th40/10%75%+0.75
13/06/202610th33/10%18%+0.18
06/08/20264th18/15%70%+0.65
29/08/20262nd11/271%89%+0.18
04/09/20264th4/179%67%-0.12