3
Vanta
3yo Filly · 9-1
Saint-Cloud · Prix Guy Garner Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength89%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.2
Today:
Class gap: +3.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 1 | 8th | 4th | +4 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 1 | 4th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 2 | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 1 | 5th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength86%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 24/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |