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Earthquake

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Saint-Cloud · Prix De Villaroche Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 19/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12819/03C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12820/04C5C5 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1285/06C51 @ Le Lion D'angers 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12524/071C5 @ Deauville 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12518/08C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Deauville?1st1st0
2026-07-24Le Lion D'angers13rd3rd0
2026-06-05Compiegne?1st1st0
2026-04-20Fontainebleau?2nd2nd0
2026-03-19Saint-Cloud?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0320/045/0624/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength67%

Delivery trend -15.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/20265th33/10%64%+0.64
20/04/20262nd14/126%91%+0.65
05/06/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
24/07/20263rd6/594%60%-0.34
18/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37