4
Egyptian Glory
3yo Filly · 8-12
Saint-Cloud · Prix De Villaroche Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 62% | -0.23 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |